Publication details

The Democratic Dividend of Non-Violent Resistance. In: Journal of Peace Research 53:6, 758-771.

Author(s): Bayer, Markus; Bethke, Felix S.; Lambach, Daniel
Year of publication: 2016

Abstract: Research suggests that nonviolent resistance (NVR) campaigns are more successful in deposing dictators than armed rebellions. However, ousting dictators is only the first step in the process of democratization. After deposing an autocratic regime, societies enter a transition phase where they must learn to consolidate the gains of democracy and bargain about the new rules of the democratic regime. But even if free, fair, and competitive elections are held, which indicate a successful transition to democratic rule, uncertainty about its stability remains salient. In the period that follows, democracy either survives and proves to be resilient, or an autocratic backslide occurs. In this article, we analyze the effect of NVR campaigns on the survival of democratic regimes. Building on the literature on modes of transitions and nonviolent resistance, we argue that those democratic regimes that come into being as a result of a NVR campaign are less prone to democratic breakdown. The main mechanism which produces this effect is that the organizational culture of NVR campaigns spills over to the subsequent democratic regime fostering conditions favorable for democratic survival. We test the effect of NVR campaigns on democratic regime survival using survival analysis and propensity score matching. The results show that democratic regimes that experience NVR during the transition phase survive substantially longer than regimes without NVR.
Full text:

Back to publications list


„Noch einmal: Zum Verhältnis von Moralität und Sittlichkeit" - Vortrag von Jürgen Habermas am 19. Juni 2019

Zum Presseservice: Hier...

Weitere Informationen zum Vortrag „Noch einmal: Zum Verhältnis von Moralität und Sittlichkeit" von Jürgen Habermas am 19. Juni 2019 an der Goethe-Universität Frankfurt am Main finden Sie hier...

Konferenz "Säkularer Islam und Islamismuskritik"

Weitere Informationen zur Konferenz "Säkularer Islam und Islamismuskritik" unter Leitung von Prof. Dr. Susanne Schröter am 14. Juni 2019. Hier...

Upcoming Events

19. Juni 2019, 18 Uhr

Vortrag: Jürgen Habermas: Noch einmal: Moralität und SittlichkeitMehr...

20. bis 22. Juni 2019

International Conference: Configuring the Demos: Cinema, the Global Digital Economy, and the Crisis of Democracy. Mehr...


Latest Media

Distanz rahmen: News from Home

Alisa Lebow
Lecture and Film "Die Erfinderin der Formen. Das Kino von Chantal Akerman"

Das Humboldt Forum und die Ethnologie

Prof. Dr. Karl-Heinz Kohl, Johann Michael Möller, Prof. Gereon Sievernich, Dr. Gisela Völger. Moderation: Dr. Eva Charlotte Raabe

New full-text Publications

Kettemann, Matthias; Kleinwächter, Wolfgang; Senges, Max (2018):

The Time is Right for Europe to Take the Lead in Global Internet Governance. Normative Orders Working Paper 02/2018. More...

Kettemann, Matthias (2019):

Die normative Ordnung der Cyber-Sicherheit: zum Potenzial von Cyber-Sicherheitsnormen. Normative Orders Working Paper 01/2019. More...